Session TS - Tsunamis:
new efforts in tsunamigenic earthquakes monitoring and establishment of
warning systems in the Euro-Mediterranean region
Oral presentation
TS/Tu/O8
- The implementation of rapid, P-wave discriminants for earthquake
magnitude and tsunami potential at seismic monitoring centers
A. Michelini1, V. Lauciani1, A. Lomax2
1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia; 2ALomax Scientific, Mouans-Sartoux, France
Rapid
assessment of earthquake size and tsunami potential of large
earthquakes is of primary importance for issuing warnings and alarms;
tsunami monitoring centers throughout the world can benefit from all
practical and reliable procedures for this assessment. In general, it is
accepted that monitoring systems must rely on a series of analysis
tools that stream information progressively, from early, rapid and
generally more uncertain estimates, to later, more accurate results.
Seismic P-waves are the first seismic data recorded by network stations,
these waves carry information on the earthquake source rupture
including its extension and depth. For example, the duration of high
frequency P-waves can be related to fault rupture length, and the P-wave
dominant period can be related to fault width and/or the fault slip.
These quantities and their combinations can be determined on-the-fly on
the incoming data streams and can be at seismic monitoring centers in
near-real time. In this work, we present the procedures implemented at
the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, INGV, for the
purpose of global and Euro-Mediterranean scale tsunami warning and
alert. These procedures provide rapid measures of earthquake tsunami
potential by exploiting both the high-frequency duration and the
dominant period of P-waves. These discriminants are complemented by fast
earthquake location (5-10 minutes depending on station coverage and
source depth) and rapid calculation of the standard Mwp and of the non-saturating Mwpd
magnitudes. All this information is updated each minute and displayed
using a comprehensive, graphical representation that allows rapid visual
inspection and understanding of the status of global earthquake
occurrence. Examples drawn from recent important earthquakes will be
shown.